Abstract

Succession planning research consistently distinguishes between succession planning as an administrative process, one that identifies potential successors for key roles and documents that identification, and succession management as an organizational capability, one that reliably develops identified successors to the readiness level required when transitions occur. Rothwell (2010) found that most organizational succession programs successfully complete the identification step and largely fail at the development step, producing succession plans that list candidates with high assessed potential who have not received the developmental experiences that would make them genuinely ready when transitions occur. This article reviews the succession research, examines the readiness development failure that characterizes most succession programs, addresses the specific developmental investments most reliably producing succession readiness, considers the measurement of succession system effectiveness, and evaluates the organizational governance required for succession management to function as a genuine organizational capability rather than an annual HR process.

The Distinction Between Succession Planning and Succession Management

Succession element% rating as effectivePrimary failure mode
Pool identification71%Demographic bias; recency and visibility effects
Competency assessment58%Competency-readiness confusion; wrong inputs
Development planning34%Plans exist; required investment does not follow
Readiness acceleration28%Stretch assignments identified but not actually assigned
Transition support22%New leader left to navigate the transition alone
Figure 1. Succession program effectiveness by element. Identification accuracy is the one dimension most organizations invest in; development acceleration -- the dimension most predictive of transition success -- is the most neglected. Corporate Leadership Council, 2010

The organizational literature on succession distinguishes sharply between succession planning, the process of identifying individuals who could potentially fill key roles in the organization, and succession management, the broader organizational capability of reliably producing leaders who are ready to assume those roles when transitions occur. Rothwell (2010) found that the majority of organizations with formal succession programs invest primarily in the identification component, conducting annual talent reviews that assess potential and update successor lists, while investing insufficiently in the readiness development that makes those successor lists genuinely useful when transitions occur. The resulting organizational experience is predictable: when key leadership transitions occur, the identified successors are not ready, external hiring occurs at higher cost and lower organizational fit than internal succession would produce, and the organization concludes that its internal talent pipeline is inadequate rather than that its succession development investment has been.

The readiness development failure in most succession programs stems from the same organizational dynamic that produces under-delegation in management practice: the tension between the short-term operational cost of developmental investment and the long-term organizational benefit of succession readiness. Developing a high-potential successor for a role that is not currently vacant requires providing that successor with developmental experiences, including stretch assignments, cross-functional exposure, and the coaching and feedback infrastructure that converts experience into capability, at an operational cost that is real and immediate while the succession benefit is deferred and uncertain. Organizations operating under short-term performance pressure consistently underinvest in this developmental process, discovering the gap between identified and ready successors only when the transition occurs and the identified successor declines the role, fails in it, or is surpassed by an external candidate.

Charan, Drotter, and Noel (2001) described the leadership pipeline model as the theoretical account of the specific capability transitions that successive organizational levels require, arguing that each level transition involves not merely the addition of new responsibilities but a fundamental shift in what the leader must value, how they allocate their time, and what skills they must apply. In their framework, the transition from individual contributor to manager of others requires developing people management capability while giving up the personal execution capability that produced early success. The transition from manager of others to manager of managers requires developing the ability to develop other managers rather than individual contributors. Each successive transition requires capabilities that the prior level did not develop, and the succession development system must therefore provide the specific experiences that build those level-transition capabilities rather than generic leadership development that may not address the specific capability gaps of the identified level transition.

The assessment implication of the pipeline model for succession planning is that succession readiness is not a single assessment but a profile assessment against the specific capability requirements of the target role at the target level. A successor who is identified as ready for a business unit leadership role based on their current performance as a functional leader may be ready to perform the functional dimensions of the business unit role and unready for the people leadership, cross-functional coordination, and business strategy dimensions that the level transition requires. Readiness assessment that specifically evaluates the successor against the level-transition capabilities identified in the pipeline model, rather than against current performance or general potential ratings, provides the diagnostic specificity required to guide targeted succession development investment.

What Succession Readiness Actually Requires

Succession urgency visible Short-term performance pressure Senior leader sponsorship Role churn and instability Stretch assignment supply Demographic bias in pool selection Prior investment learning Development funding constraints driving forces restraining forces
Figure 2. Driving and restraining forces for succession pipeline development. Organizations that diagnose both sets of forces before designing their succession system build more durable pipelines. Groves, 2007

The developmental experiences most reliably building succession readiness are those that provide genuine exposure to the specific challenges that the target role at the target level involves, at sufficient depth and authenticity to develop the judgment, relationships, and behavioral repertoire that role performance requires. McCall, Lombardo, and Morrison (1988) established in their foundational research on executive development that the most consequential developmental experiences were challenging assignments, specifically those involving significant organizational difficulty, unfamiliar complexity, and high stakes, rather than formal training programs. Their research found that the specific types of challenging assignments most associated with executive development included building or fixing something, managing through adversity, influencing without authority in a cross-functional or organizational boundary context, and working across international or cultural boundaries.

The translation of this developmental research into succession program design requires specific design of the developmental assignments that identified successors receive, rather than the assumption that regular organizational experience will provide the challenging assignments that succession readiness requires. Most organizational careers expose high-potential leaders to a reasonably limited range of organizational challenges, concentrated in the functional area and organizational context in which they have been most successful. The succession development investment most likely to produce genuine readiness deliberately designs the challenging assignment portfolio of identified successors to include the specific experience types that the target role requires and that their current organizational trajectory is not providing, rather than simply documenting their current experience and assuming it will eventually produce readiness.

The coaching and feedback infrastructure that converts developmental assignment experience into succession readiness is the succession development component most frequently underinvested in organizational succession programs. Day (2001) established that individual leader development from experience is not automatic but depends on the quality of the reflective support, feedback, and coaching that allows the leader to extract transferable learning from developmental experience rather than simply accumulating experience. Identified successors who receive challenging assignments without the feedback infrastructure that would allow them to understand the specific capabilities they are developing, the specific gaps that remain between their current and required capability levels, and the specific behavioral adjustments most likely to close those gaps, are generating raw developmental material without the processing that would convert it into succession readiness.

The sponsorship dimension of succession development, in which senior leaders actively advocate for identified successors in organizational contexts where their visibility and credibility matter, is a succession development investment whose organizational returns are disproportionate to its organizational cost. Herminia Ibarra, Carter, and Silva (2010) documented the distinction between mentoring, which primarily provides developmental support for the identified successor, and sponsorship, which actively advocates for the identified successor's advancement in organizational contexts where the sponsor has credibility and influence. Their research found that sponsorship was substantially more predictive of senior leadership advancement than mentoring alone, and that the sponsorship gap, the unequal distribution of active organizational advocacy for advancement across demographic groups, was a primary mechanism through which structural inequality in leadership pipelines was maintained despite formally equitable identification processes.

Measuring Succession System Effectiveness

The measurement of succession system effectiveness requires a more specific and demanding criterion than the percentage of key roles with identified successors or the percentage of successors rated as ready now by the talent review process. Both of these metrics measure the administrative output of the identification process without measuring the operational output of the succession system, which is the actual readiness of identified successors when transitions occur. The most valid metric of succession system effectiveness is the proportion of key leadership transitions that are filled by the organization's identified internal successors rather than by external hiring, tracked over rolling multi-year periods that reflect the full succession development cycle rather than any single planning year.

Complementary succession system effectiveness metrics include the performance outcomes of internally developed successors relative to externally hired leaders in comparable roles, the retention rate of identified successors over the succession development period, the time to full effectiveness of internal successors relative to external hires in key roles, and the diversity of the identified successor population relative to the diversity of the organizational population from which successors should be drawn. Each of these metrics captures a different dimension of succession system quality, and organizations that track multiple dimensions build a more complete picture of succession system health than those that rely on a single metric.

The organizational governance required for succession management to function as a genuine capability rather than an annual HR process includes senior leadership ownership of succession decisions and development investment, regular succession review conversations that focus on development progress rather than only on successor list updates, explicit accountability for the development of identified successors among the organizational leaders responsible for their roles, and the organizational commitment to actually promoting from within when internal successors are ready rather than defaulting to external hiring when internal successors are not immediately available. The last condition is the most important and the most frequently violated: organizations whose succession programs identify internal candidates but whose promotion decisions consistently bypass them in favor of external hiring are communicating to their internal talent population that internal succession development is not genuinely valued, producing the high-potential attrition that validates the perception that internal succession is not a realistic career path.

The succession planning diagnostic most valuable for organizations assessing their succession system maturity examines both the structural components, whether identification, development planning, progress tracking, and transition execution processes exist and are consistently applied, and the behavioral components, whether senior leaders are genuinely investing in the development of their identified successors rather than treating succession planning as an administrative exercise whose output is not expected to influence actual promotion decisions. Organizations that have the structural components without the behavioral components have succession paperwork; those that have both have succession capability. The gap between the two is the most common and most consequential succession system failure, and identifying it requires the behavioral assessment of senior leader succession investment behavior rather than only the structural audit of succession program documentation.

Succession Equity and Pipeline Diversity

The research on succession planning and pipeline development documents a systematic pattern of inequity in successor identification and development investment that produces leadership pipelines less diverse than the organizational populations from which they are drawn. Ibarra et al. (2010) found that the sponsorship gap, the unequal distribution of active organizational advocacy for advancement across demographic groups, was a more powerful mechanism of pipeline inequity than explicit discrimination, because it operated through the informal relationship dynamics of the identification and development process rather than through the formal succession management processes that most diversity interventions address.

The specific succession practices most associated with pipeline inequity are those that rely on informal identification processes, including manager nomination and senior leader advocacy, rather than systematic behavioral assessment of the full eligible population. Informal nomination processes systematically advantage candidates who are socially proximate to decision-makers, whose performance is most visible in the contexts where senior leaders observe it, and who are most similar to the senior leaders making nomination decisions in the characteristics that produce both interpersonal affinity and unconscious prototype matching. The result is identified successor populations that overrepresent organizational members with high social proximity to decision-makers and underrepresent those whose capability is equally strong but whose visibility and social proximity are lower.

The succession practices most reliably reducing pipeline inequity are those that make the identification criteria explicit and behaviorally specific before the identification process begins, that require behavioral evidence for each identified successor rather than advocacy alone, and that systematically surface overlooked candidates by explicitly asking talent review participants to identify high-potential organizational members who are not currently visible to the senior leadership conducting the review. Each of these practices addresses a different mechanism of pipeline inequity, and their combination produces more representative successor populations than any single practice could achieve independently.

The organizational return from equitable succession practice includes both the performance return from a more capable and more diverse successor pool and the retention return from the organizational signal that the succession system is genuinely meritocratic rather than socially filtered. High-performing organizational members who observe that succession decisions reflect organizational merit rather than social proximity and demographic similarity are more likely to invest in the organizational loyalty and development effort that sustains their commitment through the extended succession development period. Those who observe that succession decisions reflect social dynamics rather than merit are more likely to conclude that their own succession prospects depend on factors outside their control and to redirect their organizational investment toward options that provide more transparent relationships between performance and advancement.

References
  • Charan, R., Drotter, S., and Noel, J. (2001). The leadership pipeline: How to build the leadership-powered company. Jossey-Bass.
  • Day, D. V. (2001). Leadership development: A review in context. The Leadership Quarterly, 11(4), 581-613.
  • Ibarra, H., Carter, N. M., and Silva, C. (2010). Why men still get more promotions than women. Harvard Business Review, 88(9), 80-85.
  • McCall, M. W., Lombardo, M. M., and Morrison, A. M. (1988). The lessons of experience. Lexington Books.
  • Rothwell, W. J. (2010). Effective succession planning (4th ed.). AMACOM.